Although Miami is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 bowl games and Wisconsin got torched a year ago in this Champs Sports Bowl by another Florida ACC team in Florida State I believe they will be ready this time around. This is a Wisconsin team that was a couple of plays or games away from playing on New Years. In their games against top flight passing teams they played extremely well going 3-1 and the loss came by just 2 points to Northwestern a solid team that knocked off Iowa. Even though they lost it was still not by what they are given here today which is 4 points. Wisconsin is also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games as an under dog while Miami is 10-24-1 ATS in their last 35 games as a favorite including 2-11 ATS as a favorite between 3.5-10 points.
In Miami's three losses QB Jacoby Harris struggled big time often forcing too many passes. Harris is a pocket passer despite having the speed to move around. Teams that can get to him have forced him to make mistakes and that included 4 against UNC, 3 against Clemson, and 1 against Virginia Tech. Wisconsin has that type of defense and has been tested by some solid passing games out of the Big Ten. They have a very solid pass rush with O'Brien Schofield and the fact that Miami will be with out their 6-7 tackle Jason Fox will make this a huge advantage for Wisconsin and probably the biggest reason why I'm not backing Miami here at all. Look for Wisconsin to put Schofield in position all day to make plays for the Badgers. I believe Wisconsin plays with the lead for most of the night in what will be a close game, but Miami should have an opportunity to win the game in the 4th, but if they do it will only be by a FG.
